Wilder Vs Breazeale Predictions
Deontay Wilder vs. Dominic Breazeale
Saturday, May 18, 2019 at 10:00 PM (Barclays Center)
The Line: Wilder -600 / Breazeale +400 -- Over/Under: 9.5Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
WATCH AJ/RUIZ Joshua thinks Deontay Wilder will be a level above Dominic Breazeale whe. Deontay Wilder and Dominic Breazeale don’t like each other. It stems from a physical encounter between the two fighters (or, at least, the two fighters’ camps) in an Alabama hotel lobby in 2017, and since then, Breazeale has tried to convince Wilder to meet him in the ring.
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Deontay Wilder and Dominic Breazeale fight Saturday at the Barclays Center for the World Boxing Council World Heavyweight Title.
Deontay Wilder enters this fight with a 40-0-1 record that includes 39 knockouts. Wilder has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a December draw against Tyson Fury. Wilder is coming off his scariest bout yet, a fight you could have easily given to Fury. Wilder was out-landed in nine of the 12 rounds and looked timid for majority of the fight. If it weren’t for two knockdowns late in the fight, there’s no question Wilder would have been rewarded the loss. Either way, it’s back-to-back questionable showings for Wilder, which make this fight one he must dominate to keep that momentum alive for Anthony Joshua. Wilder is a 33-year-old American who stands at 6’7”, has an 83-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Wilder is pure size and punching power, as majority of his punches are haymakers and it’s beautiful when everything is connecting. Wilder also has great endurance for a guy who is so massive and puts so much behind his shots. Six of Wilder’s last seven finishes have come in the fifth round or later. The issues for Wilder are technique and defense. Wilder is extremely sloppy and leaves himself very open, two things that will eventually catch up to him if he continues this style where he believes he can’t be touched. This will be Wilder’s fourth career fight in New York.
Dominic Breazeale enters this fight with a 20-1 record that includes 18 knockouts. Breazeale has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a December win over Carlos Negron. Breazeale has now won three straight fights since his bout against Joshua and will be fighting for a belt for the second time in his career. Breazeale is 33 years old, stands at 6’7”, has a 81.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Breazeale is a massive boxer with a ton of heart and toughness. He went seven rounds with Joshua and kept coming forward despite taking some powerful shots. Breazeale works well behind his jab and has an incredibly strong right hand that can be a game changer when landed cleanly. Breazeale is also decent defensively, as he keeps his hands up, has good head movement and does a solid job of getting in and out of combinations. It’s just a matter of proving Breazeale is capable of beating a top tier name and putting everything together on one special night to change the outlook of his career. This will be Breazeale’s third career fight in New York.
Breazeale is not a pushover, as he’s better defensively than Wilder and while not as strong, he has some pop in his hands that will get his opponents attention. You can argue he's the better pure boxer, while Wilder is the better fighter. Don’t sleep on Breazeale. I’m simply not as high on Wilder as others are, and I’ve made it clear many times. The power shots are fun and it’s nice to see in this sport that doesn’t have a ton of one-punch KO artists, but he’s sloppy as all hell and it’s fair to say he’s been exposed in his last two bouts. Let’s not forget that an aging Luis Ortiz gave Wilder a run for his money and it would have been interesting if it went to the judges. A loss is in the cards for Wilder at some point. It’s just not here. Breazeale had issues with Joshua’s power early in the fight, and if he can’t take big hits early, he has no chance with Wilder at any point. Nobody in the sport currently hits harder than Wilder and it’s all over once those knees start to buckle.
Wilder is overrated, but he should win this fight and a finish is expected to keep that hype building for a potential AJ bout.
Randy’s PickDeontay Wilder By TKO / KO / DQ -200
Deontay Wilder will defend the WBC heavyweight championship against Dominic Breazeale on May 18, 2019 at the Barclays Arena in Brooklyn, New York.
Wilder was expected to either challenge unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua or rematch Tyson Fury but he ended up being ordered to fight his mandatory challenger, Dominic Breazeale.
Bronze Bomber
Known as the Bronze Bomber, Deontay Wilder is the first American world heavyweight boxing champion since Shannon Briggs in 2004. Wilder won the WBC belt with a unanimous decision win over Bermane Stiverne in 2015. The Bronze Bomber has since defended the title a total of eight times. In his last fight, Wilder fought lineal heavyweight Tyson Fury to a split draw.
I’m not much of a betting man but when it comes to betting on myself, I’m all in. #BombZquad#TilThisDay#WilderBreazeale#May18th ✊🏿 pic.twitter.com/s1Vs7iUhUb
— Deontay Wilder (@BronzeBomber) March 21, 2019
Wilder is 40-0-1 with 39 knockouts. The Bronze Bomber stand 6-7 and has a reach of 83 inches. The 33 year old from Tuscaloosa, Alabama has a 95% knockout rate and has recorded 19 first round knockouts.
Wilder
-600
Breazeale
+400
Odds from bet365.com as of 4/3/19
Trouble
If Wilder is the Bronze Bomber, Dominic Breazeale is Trouble. Like Wilder, he fought in the Olympics. Breazeale was a competitor in the super heavyweight division at the 2012 London Olympics where he lost in the preliminary round. “Trouble” won his first 17 bouts, including a back and forth war with Amir Mansour which saw him getting dropped in round three.
The 33-year old from Glendale, California is also 6-7 with a reach of 81 ½ inches. Breazeale has a record of 20-1 with 18 knockouts. His only loss came against current unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua in 2016 where he lost via 7th round TKO. Since the loss, Breazeale has won three straight bouts all by stoppage.
Who Wins?
This fight could go either way really with both boxers possessing incredible punching power. This is the heavyweight division where only one punch can win a fight. But between Wilder knocking Breazeale out and the other way around, the former is likely going to happen.
While Breazeale has the punching power, he doesn’t have the kind of athleticism that Wilder possesses. The Bronze Bomber is light on his feet, has quick movement and fast hands. Meanwhile, Breazeale is plodding when he moves forward and he does so on a straight pattern. He is slow with his punches and can easily be timed, especially with a brilliant fighter like Wilder. He also walks forward, trying to walk his opponent down. But sometimes he does so with his head down. Wilder is a wild swinger. His detractors call him the windmill for throwing wild punches. That’s where Breazeale can come in but I don’t think he’s fast enough to find those holes. Enough said. I think Deontay Wilder is too powerful, too athletic and too fast for Breazeale. I think Wilder also has the better chin. I’m picking Deontay Wilder to win by knockout.
Other Bets To Make
Because this one’s a major bout, even if Wilder’s foe isn’t, there are plenty of proposition bets for this bout. To know what prop bets are in boxing betting, click here. But yeah, here are some of the prop bets at bet365 which I like:
Wilder Vs Breazeale Prediction
If you’re betting for Wilder:
Not all of us are Deontay Wilder fans but let’s face it, love or hate him, almost everyone thinks he’s going to win here. This is just one of those set-up bouts where the promoters are trying to marinate a bigger fight ahead. So unless Wilder gets careless here, which would be unlikely, he a sure winner against Breazeale. So while betting on Wilder at the moneyline odds is the safest bet in this bout, it’s gonna cost you a lot at -600.
If you are sure about Deontay Wilder winning, then you might as well get him here at -200. Look only one out of Wilder’s 39 wins have come via decision and he’s gone the distance only twice in 41 bouts. No question, Wilder’s gonna get a knockout here. So bet on the line below:
Fight Outcome: Wilder by KO,TKO or Disqualification -200
Wilder Vs Breazeale Prediction
Round Betting
- Round 1-3 +550
- Round 4-6 +300
- Round 7-9 +300
- Round 10-12 +550
- Go the Distance +225
Three out of Breazeale’s last four bouts went to Round 7, 8 and 9. These were his fights against quality opponents in Anthony Joshua, Eric Molina and Carlos Negron. Having lasted 7 rounds against AJ and 8 against Molina, I think Breazeale can last as long against Wilder, that is if he isn’t caught with that bazooka right hand early. But yeah, if you want to make a bet with plus money, and that bet isn’t one that has Breazeale winning, this may be it for you. Prediction: Rounds 7-9
Best Bets To Make:
When you have a world champion like Deontay Wilder who has otherworldly punching power and you pit him against a big tomato can like Breazeale (sorry for the description), you don’t get to have plus money on a good bet. That said, the over/under betting here could be the one for you.
Total Rounds: Over 9.5 +137, Under 9.5 -188
Wilder has gone over 9.5 rounds only three times in 41 bouts and these were against Bermane Stiverne ( the better version), Artur Szpilka, Luis Ortiz and Tyson Fury. Of course Ortiz and Fury are his last two bouts but you can’t compare Breazeale’s quality to both. So Deontay’s basically been past 9.5 only twice against middle to low-level opponents.
On the other hand, Breazele’s been past 9.5 just once in his career and in his last bout against Carlos Negron. But yeah, Breazeale just went six seconds past 9.5 rounds and was knocked out by Negron. So I say under 9.5 rounds here at -188 is the best bet for this bout.
If you need a safer bet other than Wilder winning this fight at -600, then the one below might interest you:
Will the fight Go The Distance: Yes +225, No -300
Wilder has knocked out 39 out of 41 opponents while Breazeale has stopped 18 out of 20 foes. That’s 57 knockouts in 61 fights or a 93.44% knockout rate. I mean both men have bricks as fists and throw their hands like cannons. I have no doubt this fight isn’t going the distance. Not at all. I’m picking the fight not to go the distance at -300.